peps...@gmail.com
2024-01-21 14:58:21 UTC
My double below was somewhat confident although wrong.
Of course I knew it was a take.
I'm not surprised by my equity of 0.5. But with 2's being devastating
and the opponent trapped between my 5 prime, why is doubling so bad?
Could someone write a book to explain why?
Thank You.
Paul
XGID=----cCCBCB--aA-----bcbca-A:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
X:Daniel O:XG Roller+
Score is X:0 O:0 11 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X | | O O O O O |
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X X O | +---+
| X X X | | X X O | | 2 |
| O X X X | | X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 127 O: 122 X-O: 0-0/11
Cube: 2, X own cube
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 63.55% (G:12.54% B:0.38%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.45% (G:11.35% B:0.16%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.286, Double=+0.590
Cubeful Equities:
No redouble: +0.516
Redouble/Take: +0.382 (-0.134)
Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.484)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 17.8%
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Of course I knew it was a take.
I'm not surprised by my equity of 0.5. But with 2's being devastating
and the opponent trapped between my 5 prime, why is doubling so bad?
Could someone write a book to explain why?
Thank You.
Paul
XGID=----cCCBCB--aA-----bcbca-A:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
X:Daniel O:XG Roller+
Score is X:0 O:0 11 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X | | O O O O O |
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X X O | +---+
| X X X | | X X O | | 2 |
| O X X X | | X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 127 O: 122 X-O: 0-0/11
Cube: 2, X own cube
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 63.55% (G:12.54% B:0.38%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.45% (G:11.35% B:0.16%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.286, Double=+0.590
Cubeful Equities:
No redouble: +0.516
Redouble/Take: +0.382 (-0.134)
Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.484)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 17.8%
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2