peps...@gmail.com
2024-02-14 20:13:28 UTC
This plays nothing like money because the opponent
has no recube vig.
Apparently, my only advantage is being on-roll.
It's a big double and a big take.
The take was clear to me but I wasn't confident in my
double even though holding would be a huge blunder.
I did double but not with any confidence.
I suppose the Axelisation formulas for winning prob
combined with the theory of 4A 4A would have helped.
Paul
XGID=-BEABCB------------caebba-:1:1:1:00:7:7:0:11:10
X:Daniel O:XG Roller+
Score is X:7 O:7 11 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O O O O O |
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| | | X X | +---+
| | | X X X X X | | 2 |
| | | X X X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 50 O: 54 X-O: 7-7/11
Cube: 2, X own cube
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in 4-ply
Player Winning Chances: 64.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.291, Double=+0.862
Cubeful Equities:
No redouble: +0.743 (-0.118)
Redouble/Take: +0.862
Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.138)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
has no recube vig.
Apparently, my only advantage is being on-roll.
It's a big double and a big take.
The take was clear to me but I wasn't confident in my
double even though holding would be a huge blunder.
I did double but not with any confidence.
I suppose the Axelisation formulas for winning prob
combined with the theory of 4A 4A would have helped.
Paul
XGID=-BEABCB------------caebba-:1:1:1:00:7:7:0:11:10
X:Daniel O:XG Roller+
Score is X:7 O:7 11 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O O O O O |
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| | | X X | +---+
| | | X X X X X | | 2 |
| | | X X X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 50 O: 54 X-O: 7-7/11
Cube: 2, X own cube
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in 4-ply
Player Winning Chances: 64.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.291, Double=+0.862
Cubeful Equities:
No redouble: +0.743 (-0.118)
Redouble/Take: +0.862
Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.138)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2