Paul Epstein

2020-06-17 12:30:09 UTC

What is the minimum match length required so that the probability of

a PR 3.0 player beating a PR 7.0 player is >= 95%?

Why am I asking?

I'm interested in assessing the luck and skill components.

If we consider a 7 as an average player, and assume that the world's

best play at around a 3, and if we consider 95% + as "almost certain",

then it seems a useful measure -- "How long do we need to make the

matches such that the world's best are almost certain to beat the

mediocrities?"

Thanks for your help.

Paul

a PR 3.0 player beating a PR 7.0 player is >= 95%?

Why am I asking?

I'm interested in assessing the luck and skill components.

If we consider a 7 as an average player, and assume that the world's

best play at around a 3, and if we consider 95% + as "almost certain",

then it seems a useful measure -- "How long do we need to make the

matches such that the world's best are almost certain to beat the

mediocrities?"

Thanks for your help.

Paul