XGID=--AB-BEC---A-------bAaa-b-:1:1:1:31:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game

+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+

| | | O X O O O |

| | | O O |

| | | |

| | | |

| | | |

| |BAR| |

| | | X |

| | | X |

| X | | X | +---+

| X | | X X X | | 2 |

| X X | | X X X X | +---+

+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip count X: 100 O: 21 X-O: 0-0

Cube: 2, X own cube

X to play 31

Paul's analysis of these kinds of plays are excellent. At DMP, XG favors

7/4 and then either 11/10 or 6/5.

1. Rollout¹ 7/6 7/4 eq:-1.539

Player: 1.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Opponent: 98.21% (G:57.76% B:0.48%)

Confidence: ±0.002 (-1.541..-1.537) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 11/8 7/6 eq:-1.630 (-0.090)

Player: 1.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Opponent: 98.26% (G:66.62% B:0.52%)

Confidence: ±0.002 (-1.632..-1.628) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 11/10 7/4 eq:-1.642 (-0.102)

Player: 1.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Opponent: 98.02% (G:68.48% B:0.41%)

Confidence: ±0.002 (-1.643..-1.640) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 20/17 7/6 eq:-1.657 (-0.118)

Player: 0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Opponent: 100.00% (G:65.69% B:0.00%)

Confidence: ±0.001 (-1.658..-1.656) - [0.0%]

5. Rollout¹ 7/4 6/5 eq:-1.665 (-0.126)

Player: 1.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Opponent: 98.02% (G:70.90% B:0.44%)

Confidence: ±0.002 (-1.667..-1.663) - [0.0%]

6. Rollout¹ 7/4 5/4 eq:-1.667 (-0.128)

Player: 1.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Opponent: 98.07% (G:70.94% B:0.44%)

Confidence: ±0.002 (-1.669..-1.665) - [0.0%]

7. Rollout¹ 7/4 3/2 eq:-1.670 (-0.131)

Player: 1.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Opponent: 98.14% (G:70.99% B:0.44%)

Confidence: ±0.002 (-1.672..-1.668) - [0.0%]

8. Rollout¹ 7/4 2/1 eq:-1.671 (-0.131)

Player: 1.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Opponent: 98.11% (G:71.09% B:0.46%)

Confidence: ±0.002 (-1.673..-1.669) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.

Dice Seed: 271828

Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---

Tim Chow