XGID=-BA--bC-C--B-C--Acdcc-----:1:1:1:66:2:3:0:7:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2

Score is X:2 O:3 7 pt.(s) match.

+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+

| X X O O | | O O |

| X O O | | O O |

| X O O | | O O |

| O | | |

| | | |

| |BAR| |

| | | |

| | | |

| X | | X | +---+

| X X | | X O X | | 2 |

| X X | | X O X X | +---+

+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip count X: 123 O: 125 X-O: 2-3/7

Cube: 2, X own cube

X to play 66

Paul nailed this one. My variant below is for money, but XG does narrowly

prefer 16/4 13/7(2) over 13/7(3) 8/2 ATS if O owns the cube (on 2 or 4).

1. Rollout¹ 13/7(3) 8/2 eq:+0.931

Player: 70.27% (G:2.34% B:0.05%)

Opponent: 29.73% (G:2.21% B:0.06%)

Confidence: ±0.003 (+0.928..+0.934) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 13/7(2) 13/1 eq:+0.898 (-0.033)

Player: 68.45% (G:1.95% B:0.01%)

Opponent: 31.55% (G:2.47% B:0.06%)

Confidence: ±0.003 (+0.895..+0.901) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 16/4 13/7(2) eq:+0.880 (-0.051)

Player: 70.17% (G:2.30% B:0.02%)

Opponent: 29.83% (G:2.28% B:0.12%)

Confidence: ±0.003 (+0.878..+0.883) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 16/4 13/1 eq:+0.830 (-0.102)

Player: 66.32% (G:1.91% B:0.05%)

Opponent: 33.68% (G:2.91% B:0.20%)

Confidence: ±0.009 (+0.821..+0.838) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.

Dice Seed: 271828

Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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Money

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XGID=-BA--bC-C--B-C--Acdcc-----:1:1:1:66:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game

+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+

| X X O O | | O O |

| X O O | | O O |

| X O O | | O O |

| O | | |

| | | |

| |BAR| |

| | | |

| | | |

| X | | X | +---+

| X X | | X O X | | 2 |

| X X | | X O X X | +---+

+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip count X: 123 O: 125 X-O: 0-0

Cube: 2, X own cube

X to play 66

1. Rollout¹ 16/4 13/7(2) eq:+0.799

Player: 71.78% (G:1.66% B:0.03%)

Opponent: 28.22% (G:2.19% B:0.08%)

Confidence: ±0.009 (+0.790..+0.808) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 13/7(3) 8/2 eq:+0.749 (-0.051)

Player: 71.11% (G:2.36% B:0.04%)

Opponent: 28.89% (G:2.36% B:0.07%)

Confidence: ±0.009 (+0.740..+0.758) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.

Dice Seed: 271828

Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

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Tim Chow