Blitz versus prime cube action 2

[Timothy Chow]

XGID=aBBCBaB--A--b-a--bbdbBA---:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
[phone]------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O O | | O O X X |
| O O | | O O X |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O | | X X X X X |
| O X | | X O X X X X |
[phone]-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 108 O: 146 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action

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Tim Chow

[Timothy Chow]

XGID=aBBCBaB--A--b-a--bbdbBA---:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
[phone]------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O O | | O O X X |
| O O | | O O X |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O | | X X X X X |
| O X | | X O X X X X |
[phone]-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 108 O: 146 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action

Compared to the previous position, X's back checkers are better
poised to jump over O's prime, but O has entered one checker from
the bar. Entering a checker is huge. The rollout verdict here is
big double, big take.

Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 61.40% (G:41.34% B:0.56%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.60% (G:8.63% B:0.41%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 61.64% (G:41.51% B:0.52%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.36% (G:8.74% B:0.41%)

Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.569 (-0.208)
Double/Take: +0.777
Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.223)

Best Cube action: Double / Take

Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.015 (+0.554..+0.584)
Confidence Double: ± 0.020 (+0.757..+0.798)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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Tim Chow